Donald Trump Could be 2022 Midterms Biggest Loser, as Red Wave More of a Ripple

Posted on: November 9, 2022, 10:34h. 

Last updated on: November 9, 2022, 03:39h.

Devin O'Connor @CasinoorgDevinO Read More
Expertise: Asia Pacific Gaming, Commercial Gaming, Legislation, Politics.

Former President Donald Trump is taking much blame Wednesday morning for Republicans’ failure to dominate Tuesday’s 2022 midterms.

Donald Trump odds 2024 midterms Republican
Former President Donald Trump is reportedly mulling another presidential bid. But 2022 midterm voters seemed to rebuke the Trump train in several key states where the former president endorsed GOP candidates who failed to win. (Image: Getty)

Political insiders forecast a “red wave” amid record inflation, a rattling economy, and heightened crime. GOP leaders said Election Day would be a referendum on President Joe Biden, the Democratic Party’s leadership, and its control of the White House and Congress.

However, Tuesday night didn’t go as Republicans had planned.

Though the GOP will likely take power in the US House of Representatives, the Senate remains unclear. Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman’s Senate victory over Dr. Mehmet Oz greatly lengthened the odds of the Republicans controlling the upper congressional chamber come January.

Republican Senate candidates elsewhere also didn’t perform as expected. While Republicans JD Vance and former Nevada Attorney General Adam Laxalt are expected to win their respective Senate races in Ohio and Nevada, Democratic incumbent Sen. Mark Kelly maintains a lead in Arizona over venture capitalist Blake Masters, and Sen. Raphael Warnock is headed for a runoff in Georgia against challenger Herschel Walker.

DeSantis New GOP Leader?

Trump was pivotal in determining GOP candidates in several key Senate races. Trump endorsed Oz in Pennsylvania, Masters in Arizona, and Walker in Georgia.

Trump also nearly handpicked several Republican gubernatorial candidates who failed to win on Tuesday, including Doug Mastriano in Pennsylvania, Tudor Dixon in Michigan, and Lee Zeldin in New York. None of those candidates are celebrating victories this morning.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, however, dominated his reelection campaign against former Florida Gov. and US Rep. Charlie Crist (D). DeSantis, who Trump took a shot at last week by giving him the nickname Ron “DeSanctimonious,” never sought out the former president’s endorsement. DeSantis won Florida by nearly 20 points.

The 2022 midterms suggest that Republicans want to move forward with DeSantis in 2024 instead of looking back with Trump. The New York Post, which skews conservative, ran a front page on Wednesday with a photo of DeSantis accompanied by the headline: “DeFuture.”

DeSantis is now the 2024 betting front-runner for the US presidential election. PredictIt bettors give the Floridian a 33% shot at succeeding Biden. Trump is next at 27%, and Biden is third at 23 cents.

Senate, Congressional Power

While Republicans mull their future with DeSantis possibly replacing Trump as their party leader, Democrats hope to retain as many congressional seats as possible as the final votes are tallied.

Things might all come down to Georgia once again. Georgia requires a Senate candidate to win at least 50% of the vote. With Warnock receiving 49.4% and Walker 48.5% with an estimated 98% of the vote counted, a runoff is expected. If that happens, Georgians will decide between the two candidates on December 6.

The runoff could tip the 50-50 scale should Laxalt in Nevada, and Sen. Ron Johnson in Wisconsin hold on to leads that have their Senate races still too close to call. Laxalt is seeking to oust Nevada Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto from DC, while Johnson is fending off a challenge from Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes.

PredictIt bettors believe the final 2022 outcome of Congress will be a Republican House and Democratic Senate. Before Tuesday, the GOP was the heavy favorite to take control of both chambers.