Nevada Poll Shows Harris With Slight Lead Over Trump in Exceedingly Close Presidential Race

Posted on: October 11, 2024, 08:13h. 

Last updated on: October 11, 2024, 09:24h.

The latest poll of Nevada voters reveals Vice President Kamala Harris slightly edging out former President Donald Trump just a few weeks before the presidential election.

Vice President Kamala Harris
Vice President Kamala Harris, pictured above. She slightly leads former President Donald Trump in a recent poll of Nevada voters. (Image: Brookings Institution)

Harris was favored by 48.1% of those questioned, according to the poll that was released this week by Emerson College, KLAS TV in Las Vegas, and The Hill. But Trump was very close with 47.3% backing him. Point-nine percent of respondents said they back neither leading candidate, while another 2.7% remain undecided.

The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus 3.2%, making the race too close to call at this time.

When it comes to difference by gender in Nevada, men were 52% to 43% for Trump, and women were 53% to 43% for Harris, according to the results.

Some 900 likely voters took part in the poll that was conducted earlier this month.

Economy is Most Important Issue

The poll also asked what Nevada voters considered the most important issues. Topping the list at 36.4% was the economy. Affordable housing was second at 15%, immigration third at 12.5%. Threats to democracy 10.8%, education 7.9%, access to abortion 6.3%, health care 5%, and crime 3.4%, rounded out the answers.

The tight race between Trump and Harris makes Nevada the “second-closest race among the seven swing states,” KLAS reported.

The poll results in Michigan were even closer, with Harris edging out Trump in that state by 49.2% to 49.0%  Trump, meanwhile, tops Harris in five swing states: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Swing states are seen as the key to who will win the election, according to many political analysts.

“With the race still deadlocked and just under four weeks to go, it remains too close to call in key swing states, all within the margin of error,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement.

Trump Often Favored in Betting World

Earlier this week, Casino.org reported that betting odds continue to shift in Trump’s favor as Harris’ campaign and President Joe Biden’s administration face mounting problems.

Trump is the betting front-runner with implied odds of 53%. Harris has become the underdog, with an implied winning chance of below 47%. These percentages were reported on Tuesday by Polymarket, a decentralized peer-to-peer wagering platform.

In other betting circles, Ladbrokes has Trump at 5/6 (-120) for implied odds of 54.5%. Harris is at even money (+100) for implied odds of 50%. Paddy Power also has Harris even but Trump at 10/11 (-110) for implied odds of 52.3%. William Hill has Trump and Harris each at -110.